Apple Netbook
March 10th 2009 Technology

There are a whole lot of rumors flying around about a purported Apple Netbook form factor.

I think it’s inevitable that Apple do something in that direction, or face a sudden loss of market share.

Consider Moore’s Law:

Moore’s law - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Most notably, 1975, Moore altered his projection to a doubling every two years [13]. Despite popular misconception, he is adamant that he did not predict a doubling “every 18 months”. However, an Intel colleague had factored in the increasing performance of transistors to conclude that integrated circuits would double in performance every 18 months.[14]

The upshot of this is that we should be seeing increases of power and drops in price of the computers in general use, and that increase/drop should be quite noticeable over a two-year time frame.

The netbooks represent a manufacturing response to Moore’s law. At a price point of $400-$500 per unit, they are about half the price and weight, and double the capacity of “laptops” of two years ago.

Two years from now, look for the $250 Netbook/Ebookreader/personal phone/tv decoder weighing a pound or less to debut on the market. If Apple fails to move with this trend, it will quite quickly render itself irrelevant in the marketplace. Snazzy style alone is not enough to keep a hardware business running.

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-Bill Quick







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