Russia is at a crossroads. There are basically two choices. Either it becomes more authoritarian, with state capitalism and protectionism — [and] then it has no need for cooperation with the European Union. Or we see a political and economic liberalization, which is the opposite direction.
If I had to bet, I’d put my money on authoritarianism. Tough economic times don’t tend to spawn great bursts of liberalization. Great burst of liberal fascism is the more likely outcome. Especially in places like Russia, with no deep tradition of individual liberty.
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