Bam Bam Closing the Deal?
April 2nd 2008 Election08, Clintons, Obama, McCain

Public Policy Polling: Obama takes the lead in Pennsylvania

Barack Obama has taken the lead in Pennsylvania, a remarkable turnaround after trailing Hillary Clinton by 26 points in a PPP poll in the state just two and a half weeks ago.

Obama’s steep rise could be a reflection of a growing sense among Democratic voters that a continued divisive nomination process will hurt the party’s chances of defeating John McCain this fall. An Obama upset in Pennsylvania would be virtually certain to force Clinton out of the race.

Apparently Obama is going to be able to ride out the Wright problems with Dems, and I don’t think McCain is going to be able to marshall enough support among his own base to beat him.

Wright may make the general election a bit closer than I originally projected, so instead of crushing McCain, I expect that Obama will only soundly whip him.

Bottom line: I don’t think voters inclined to consider Obama are going to be dissuaded by something his preacher said, no matter how reprehensible. Anyway, most voters aren’t going to believe that as big a nice guy as Obama seems to be would hold those kinds of views anyway.

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-Bill Quick







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