Where I Stand Now
January 19th 2008 General, Politics

It looks as if Fred Thompson will finish a weak third in South Carolina. I suspect this was his best shot, and I frankly don’t see him with any chance now of getting the nomination. I think, depending on the nominee, he has a strong shot at the vice presidential nomination, but so what? In essence, the GOP has rejected the one real conservative in the race, and will now pick from a NYC moderate, a “maverick” RINO, a budding populist theocrat, and a Massachusetts country club Republican in the Rockefeller/First Bush vein.

None of them can be trusted very much on any of the issues I care about, from immigration, to liberty, to the Second Amendment, to a lessening of federal power, or to federalism itself. They are all, to a moderate or greater extent, wedded to statism, and I think it has now become quite clear that the GOP, once, but no longer, the party of conservatism, small government, and liberty, is now just another statist gang like their counterparts who are very slightly across the left/right divide from them.

I am now officially one of the uncommitted. Any party or candidate who wants my vote will have to earn it, by my standards.

I will not vote for any ticket headed by John McCain or Mike Huckabee. If McCain is the nominee, I won’t vote for any candidate. If Huckabee is the nominee, I’ll vote for the Democratic candidate. Yes, I would vote for BJ & Hillary Clinton before I’d cast a vote for that constitution-rewriting Christian reconstructionist theocrat in the making, Huckabee. In fact, I won’t vote for any ticket of which he is a part.

At the moment, probably the best I can hope for would be a Giuliani/Thompson ticket. I think that, absent Fred, Rudy would have the best leadership talents. My only problem is where he would try to lead us. But I’d vote for him. I’d vote, but with less enthusiasm, for a Rudy/Romney ticket, in whatever order, and I would vote for a Romney/Thompson ticket.

But McCain or Huckabee? Either one is a deal-breaker, and neither will get my vote. The only difference is that Huckabee will cause me to vote - for his opponent.

In a way, it’s a relief. I’m pretty well out of it now. I’m lukewarm at best as regards any of the most likely GOP nominees. The only thing I’ll be watching for is who the final nominee turns out to be, so I’ll be able to know what I’ll be doing on election day this year.

So, good luck, GOP. You may end up getting a vote from me. But you’re not really a party I have much interest in any longer. I think a lot of people feel the way I do, too. I could be wrong. But my antenna have been twitching for a while now, and don’t believe the near future for America looks particularly bright - and many of the seeds that will grow to ugly fruition in the oncoming gloom were planted and nurtured by George W. Bush, with the willing help of a party that has forgotten the principles it once stood for. But I also think that if the Dems get control of all three branches come November, in ten years they will look back and see that as the most comprehensive disaster their party has endured in a hundred years.

Most of all, I think that in ten years the entire political landscape will have been utterly remade. I honestly don’t know if the two currently dominant parties will be any more viable than the future facing pop music today. Both the Democrats and the Republicans are nursing century old coalitions that are facing unbridgeable chasms of internal inconsistency. I don’t thing either will be able to cross those bridges. And as we enter deeper into an era of greater and greater fragmentation, I see no reason why two political-machine dinosaurs should be any more durable than anything else.

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