Don’t Kid Yourself: The Dems Have Real Problems
October 21st 2007 Election08, Clintons

Zogby International

While she is winning wide support in nationwide samples among Democrats in the race for their party’s presidential nomination, half of likely voters nationwide said they would never vote for New York Sen. Hillary Clinton, a new Zogby Interactive poll shows.

The online survey of 9,718 likely voters nationwide showed that 50% said Clinton would never get their presidential vote. This is up from 46% who said they could never vote for Clinton in a Zogby International telephone survey conducted in early March. Older voters are most resistant to Clinton – 59% of those age 65 and older said they would never vote for the New York senator, but she is much more acceptable to younger voters: 42% of those age 18–29 said they would never vote for Clinton for President.

Nationwide “samples” don’t mean a damned thing. Your opinion about Bill Clinton’s wife is meaningless unless you vote. And close to half of you don’t - ever - so why anybody pays attention to what you “think” is beyond me.

Likely voters are much more predictive of electoral outcomes than general polls, or even polls of registered voters. What’s worse for the female Clinton is that those likely voters who say they will never vote for her is rising, not falling, and this in the face of her determined effort to remake herself as a warm and likable person.

Yet I don’t see any way she and her husband won’t be the Democratic candidate for president in 2008.

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-Bill Quick







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